I ended my first post on this subject without drawing any conclusions on the Fair Tax, so I'll do that here.
Is the Fair Tax a better way to go then our current system?
Perhaps the better question would be, is it worth a try? I would have to say yes.
Trying it would be the only way to find out if it indeed does all what its proponents say it will. That's a major overhaul to bring millions of people on line with, but of the alternative tax system proposals to date, it goes the farthest in eradicating everything that is wrong with the current tax system. Anything that takes 60,000 pages to explain is sorely and woefully awry.
The vast majority of states in the union have their own sales tax. Piggybacking onto those systems would seem to be appropriate. Enforcement would seem to be easier than what it is now, where you have millions who can potentially accidentally or purposefully withhold incorrect amounts of taxes, not file returns, and spend all kinds of taxpayer money and their own time getting it corrected.
Placing the tax on retail goods and services makes more sense in a free enterprise system then taxing someone's wages or assets. It would seem to encourage more consumption then less, which would seem to be good for the economy as well as good for the government. The more the economy grows, the chances of their being more consumers with more money to spend increases. Even if they do get money to spend via a prebate, even the poorest among us get an opportunity to contribute.
It will put more of the tax burden on those who are the wealthiest. It has that as a selling point on the homepage of fairtax.org.
The wealthiest among us are the ones who have the most capital to do things. They also tend to consume more. Where we might be fortunate to have one home, they might own two or more, and ones which are more expensive. They will have other toys and gadgets, employ others to make their lives easier, etc.
What if they decided to consume less? Because they can, what would happen if they were to take themselves off the grid--revert to their own means of generating energy to power their own homes and businesses? What if they started dealing exclusively in second hand yachts and homes?
In fact, what if the entire nation emphasized buying more used things then new things?
Well, it couldn't exclusively do that. The manufacturing of new items would not come to a screeching halt, but it could conceivably slow the new product business. It wouldn't all go away because eventually used things break down and would need to be replaced. Repair shops might make a comeback.
However, we've been trained since our infancy now to consume. Most of us living don't remember the depression. While there's been periods of bumps along the way, the United States has not experienced the likes of a decade long depression. We've become accustomed to our luxuries. Many of them we would call necessities.
Personally, I'm not going to feel bad if the federal government has to suddenly start downsizing because not enough revenue is coming in.
If this Fair Tax did do all that it says it would, then we wouldn't be able to borrow from China any more because we'd be competing more aggressively with them, and putting more of their factories and companies out of business in the process, because corporations would return to the US rather than shipping overseas.
I think the economy could thrive quite well on a second hand industry. While it's outgrown it's current model, eBay has been doing pretty well for itself, and so have places like Craigslist.
What I would wonder more about is if this went the other way. I'm not an environmentalist or a conservationist, but as a realist, there is a realization that there's a finite amount of resources. You either need to renew them quicker, or you need to consume at a lesser degree than what they would naturally renew, assuming they do.
We're already accused of being a consumer culture. We're already derided for being the most wasteful. Great strides have been made over the course of the last half century to work on pollution standards, and smaller footprints for all kinds of projects. The technology and know how is there, or being put into place. However, if consumption was unleashed on even greater scale than it is right now, and we all bought into it, at some point, as the population gets larger and human expansion continues, at some point, whether it be 10 years down the road or several centuries, you do come to the end of the road.
Most likely, that's too much to read into this. Rarely does anything have such transcending effect on a nation. Of course, that might have been what people thought when the income tax amendment was ratified, or when social security and medicare were mandated.
If the highest this Fair Tax can go is 24%--if it's actually written into law as the ceiling--and if a concerted effort will still be made to shrink the size of the federal government, not just grow it, then I can see this as being the best thing that could ever happen to us. Having the cost of living decreasing while our wages potentially increase, along with our savings and our investments, would all seem to be a good thing. The amount needed to run government could go down because fewer and fewer people would rely on social security and medicare. Less people would be on welfare. And, according the website, this would also discourage illegal immigration!
As I said at the top of this blog, it's hard to tell just what drastic effects this might have on us. While there may be negatives, they don't seem to outweigh the positives. Government, business and consumer would all have to do their part.
I think it's worth a try.